Saturday, March 31, 2012
Friday, March 30, 2012
Gorgeous Ganisha
Photographed by Chamitha Wijayaratne
Chamitha Wijayaratne is one of the Professional photographers who specializes in fashion photography, model portfolios and wedding photography. This copyrighted materials own by the photographer. Under the Intellectual Property Act of Sri Lanka, Copying, Blogging, Distributing, Editing, Publishing or Unauthorized use of these photos are strictly prohibited.
Chamitha Wijayaratne +94 773253461, 777418383
FB page https://www.facebook.com/pages/Chamitha_W-Photography-n-GraphiX
Miss Photogenic 2012
photo courtesy http://derana.lk/misssrilanka/
photo courtesy http://derana.lk/misssrilanka
Thursday, March 29, 2012
Blog Tour: Excerpt & Giveaway -- The Galahad Legacy
As an added bonus, be sure to check out the bottom of this post for the chance to win all SIX books in the Galahad series - brought to you by Tor.
“Did you feel any kind of presence in the darkness?” Lita said. Triana noticed that both Lita and Bon seemed to lean forward with this question.
“No, almost the exact opposite. It felt like I was leaving behind all conscious thought, and plunging into a vacuum of total nothingness. It was terrifying. But the moment I crossed that barrier, the very moment I saw the last image of the stars in my peripheral vision and was about to be swallowed by the blackness, it was as if everything turned inside out. Where it should have been an infinite darkness, suddenly there was an explosion of light.”
“Colors?” Gap asked. “Like a kaleidoscope?”
Please visit Bookworm Lisa for the next excerpt from the second chapter of The Galahad Legacy.
About Dom Testa
Public Appearances:
- Saturday, April 14th: Murder by the Book, Houston, TX; 11:00 am
- Wednesday, April 18th and Thursday, April 19th: Texas Library Association Annual Conference, Houston, TX; various times
- Friday, April 20th: Barnes & Noble, 1000 Research Drive, Austin, TX; 7:00 pm
- Saturday, April 21st: Barnes & Noble, 15900 La Cantera Parkway, San Antonio, TX; 2:00 pm
To Enter:
Follow the directions on the Rafflecopter below. There are no strict rules except that the winner must have a US or Canadian address.
The giveaway will stay open until the end of the tour, which is April 11th. Good luck!
a Rafflecopter giveaway
Berlitz: China Pocket Guide
The markets appear to be a game of three halves at the moment. The US markets are resilient with equities holding their highs, Europe is gently slipping but the leader is currently China where equity markets have tanked over the past few days. To many, China has become the cradle of the next crisis. With little else going on in the world the amount of airtime and speculative attention that China is getting has already spilled into its secondary markets. Now whilst Australia may indeed be struggling with its own Dutch Disease the current China concerns are giving the Aussie bears more ammo to load up on positions that can only be described as "covering the table" - short AUD/USD, long EUR/AUD, short AUD/ZAR, BRL, CAD, you name it and the number of structured basket term sheets TMM are seeing relating to shorting Aussie are indicating Tabloid positioning. And we didn't even mention Copper or Chinese H-Shares. Yet much of this new wave is based upon China not paying top dollar for Australian commodities much longer.
The assumptions on China we will come back to in a minute, but the thing that strikes us most is the regionality of the opinions being expressed. US and leverage accounts are particularly negative on China and Australia, whereas Europe and real money accounts are more balanced. As usual though, the Chinese and Australian views remain overall pretty up beat on themselves. As ever TMM will try and explain this with a simple chart:
And it seems that even those with more optimistic views on China (Asia-based investors) have finally caught the "China is slowing sharply" bug and capitulated as February's export data (that TMM have already addressed here, concluding they weren't as bad as they seemed) and most recently the HSBC Flash PMI have provided new bear food, driven particularly by those in the US that view China as a Ponzi scheme. Now, TMM have mentioned before that they sit more in the middle of the two Jims (Chanos & O'Neill), neither of the opinion that China is to spectacularly crash nor become the world's growth engine (at least, not anytime soon). And they don't deny the fact that the banking system is full of NPLs related to the 2009-10 stimulus, and these will certainly be an overhang for the next couple of years. But that is in the price and, when considered upon the backdrop of being largely state owned & directed, TMM find it hard to get too excited about both the impact upon the economy more broadly - unlike in the West, loss-recognition and balance sheet repair (which would likely impede credit creation) are not exactly the priorities of either bank managements nor policymakers.
One thing that has puzzled many China-watchers has been the lack of expected policy easing in response to the weaker activity data and slowing inflation. The trouble is that Chinese data is very difficult to read, and TMM constantly receive somewhat, err, "lazy" analysis from both analysts and punters. A brief list of issues: (i) Lunar New Year plays havoc with January and February, and even can have an effect upon March due to the moving around and distortion of seasonal effects, (ii) the quality of the data is poor due to collection (and "massaging") issues, (iii) the data is not easy to understand as much of it arrives in "YoY Cumulative YTD" format, a relic of earlier central planning (see chart below of China Value Added of Industry YoY Cumulative YTD - a chart that is impossible to interpret in this form), (iv) seasonal adjustment factors have dynamically changed as China's economy has changed in composition over the past several years, and (v) there is an important difference between nominal and real figures (for example, the combined Jan/Feb nominal export growth of 7% was poor, but in real terms, was rather stronger than would have been expected given lagged US/EU orders). Any analysis of Chinese data is only complete when the above are considered - and most of the junk that both the Street & Blogosphere have pumped out on this neglect at least one of the above.
E.g. - What the heck does this mean?
So that's TMM's whinging out the way (and we profusely apologise for whinging at all!).
We digress. Reconstructing the above data, the below chart shows the YoY change in Value Added IP (purple line) and the 6m/6m seasonally adjusted annualised rate (saar, green line). The YoY rate is essentially flat, and while the economy clearly slowed in the latter half of 2011, the weakness appears exaggerated by base effects. The 6m/6m saar (green line), which is essentially a measure of growth momentum, clearly bottomed in December and has begun to move higher. The official China PMI also bottomed late last year (more on this below). Chinese policymakers observing the same data may well have come to the conclusion that easing is not really required - TMM would concur.
Of course, growth is only half the story - inflation is the other ingredient to the Growth/Inflation mix. But this too has fallen since the oil/food price-driven increase last year. Putting these together in a very simple model, there is a reasonable correlation between relative equity moves (see chart below, of the relative performance of Chinese H-Shares vs. SPX [Red line], vs. this naive metric [blue line]). No single driver can explain market moves, but broadly, TMM reckon that (as macro guys) the growth/inflation mix is a principal component. Obviously there are divergences related to the 2007-9 failed Decoupling Experiment, the world not being linear (and neither are returns) etc, but TMM think this is a useful way to think about China.
So, back to TMM's PMI model. This has reasonable error bounds that have caught them out before, functions of dynamic seasonal adjustments, but is nevertheless of some use at least. The top line model reckons a PMI of 52.7 - TMM are sceptical of this given the HSBC Flash PMI was so poor - but stripping out the seasonal produces 51.2, which is a smidge above consensus. TMM, however, are less concerned about the absolute level, and more about the direction. Specifically, should the number come out close to consensus, it would confirm that activity bottomed in December in line with the Value Added IP momentum above. A disappointment, on the other hand, would likely be met with eventual policy easing.
Putting all of the above together with bearish sentiment and interesting technicals in H-Shares (see below chart), TMM have begun building a long position both here and in AUD ahead of this weekend's PMI number, and would look to buy the dip into any knee-jerk sell-off should the number disappoint by only a tad. Again, the trouble here related to Lunar New Year and the other complicating factors mentioned above mean that the turn in momentum that TMM reckon is ongoing will not necessarily show up in the hard data for a couple of months. This is a risk TMM will have to take...
And with that, TMM brace themselves for a ravaging in the comments and wish their readers a profitable Q2.
Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Blog Tour Review: Fractured Light, by Rachel McClellan
Llona Reese is used to living on the run. After the Vykens killed her parents, she knew they would eventually come for her too. But she never felt ready to face them---until now. Defying the Auran Council and everything she's been taught, Llona must learn to use her power over light as a weapon if she wants to survive.
Aside from this, the story was amazing. I started reading it late one afternoon with the intention of only reading the hour before it was time to go to bed. Instead, I stayed up an extra two hours past my bedtime to finish the book because I could not make myself stop reading it. Nothing worked, of course... I was hooked from the very beginning.
If there was one particular reason I had to give someone to read this book, I would not hesitate in saying Llona herself. Here is a character who, in the true sense of the world, is a real heroine. She's not without her faults, but her strengths far exceed any of those. She's brave, strong and doesn't give up. If there's something she doesn't excel at, she works and works on it until she gets it. And she's a fighter. I'm not just talking about she starts out strong but turns all D-i-D (damsel-in-distress) once a boy enters the picture. She fights beginning, middle and end, even with a hunky Guardian in the picture.
And yes, there's the swoon-worthy male lead who is indeed everything a girl wants in a guy and then some. Unfortunately, there are things keeping the two apart. However, it does lead to some very crazy tension in the book that I definitely thought added another layer to the story.
You can't have a good story without a "bad guy," and Fractured Light definitely included one. I have to admit, I thought I knew but ended up second-guessing myself throughout the entire story. I changed my mind entirely too many times, but it led up to a surprise at the end - which is a nice change from knowing from the very beginning who the obvious villain is.
Fractured Light is definitely a story that keeps you turning pages until the very end. There was some events that unfolded at the very end that makes me probably a little too anxious for the next book, which I look forward to reading as soon as it comes out. If you like paranormal books with some great characters and a nice new mythology spun in, I definitely recommend you pick this one up.
Rating: ★★★★✩
Source: Teen Book Scene
Title: Fractured Light
Author: Rachel McClellan
Series: Fractured Light, Book One
Publisher: Sweetwater Books
Format: Hardcover, 304 pages
Release Date: February 8, 2012
Purchase Book
Amazon | Barnes & Noble | Book Depository | IndieBound
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
#Cheat Audition Ayodance Auto Story v.6078 Updated !!!
Credit : Starz Hack + CizCizNet
No Mirroring Link
Dikarenakan DiGroup FB Saya Ada yg Request Cheat Audition Ayodance Maka Saya akan Meng-Sharenya di sini :)
Anda Kebingungan Saat Mendownload ?
Tinggalkan Komentar anda di Blog + Gabung Ke Group FB :
http://www.facebook.com/groups/MarsCelebrity/
DOWNLOAD HERE
Click Untuk Add Facebook Saya :
http://www.Facebook.com/MarsHacker
Untuk ke Link Sumber Cheat Audition Ayodance Indonesia
Click Here
#Cheat Grand Chase Indonesia Updated 24 Maret 2012 Cheat MP No Crash
Dikarenakan DiGroup FB Saya Ada yg Request Cheat Grand Chase Indonesia / GC Maka Saya akan Meng-Sharenya di sini :)
Anda Kebingungan Saat Mendownload ?
Tinggalkan Komentar anda di Blog + Gabung Ke Group FB :
http://www.facebook.com/groups/MarsCelebrity/
DOWNLOAD HERE
Click Untuk Add Facebook Saya :
http://www.Facebook.com/MarsHacker
Untuk ke Link Sumber Cheat Lost Saga ( LS )
Click Here
Daftar Pemenang Panasonic Gobel Awards 2012
Back to Flat
Ben left no time to regret
Kept his options set
With his same QE safe bet
Shares at another high
I just want to cry
Get on without that guy
He went back to what he knew
Losing me me money being short the Spoo
So I tread a troubled track
My odds are stacked
I'll go back to flat
I only bought back yesterday
I held off a hundred times
yet you come off the highs
just when I am back to.....
I go back to flat
I loved the short too much
That's not enough
You love growth and I ZH puff.
And though I hate to gripe
Well, I don't, IT'S JUST NOT RIGHT !
I only bought it yesterday
I held off a hundred times
yet you come off the highs
just when I am back to.....
I only closed it yesterday
I held off a hundred times
yet you come off the highs
just when I am back to.....
Flat, flat, flat, flat, flat, flat, flat,
I go back to
I go back to
I only bailed it yesterday
I held off a hundred times
yet you come off the highs
just when I am back to.....
I only panicked yesterday
I 've died a hundred times
Yet you come off the highs
As I go back to Flat
Film Layar Lebar CherryBelle Love is U Sinopsis
Monday, March 26, 2012
Manda Cello Profil dan Foto
Polaris, by Sam Rabl
Sam Rabl is one of my favorite designers. Especially his designs for home builders. If you've been around here for a while, you may remember that my first fixed keeled boat was a Picaroon designed by Sam.
A Doryman reader wrote to me a while back to remind me that Sam Rabl also designed a slightly bigger boat built in plywood called a Polaris. He also had some questions about details, so I asked another faithful reader, who's an excellent historian, to do some research.
We are talking about a seaworthy boat here and even though Sam claims you can build it in your backyard does not mean it's simple. This is a boat for a serious sailor and will take you anywhere you want to go.
But first you'll have to pick your sail rig. Here we have no less than four options, including a hermaphrodite brig.
Die Pläne und Offsets finden Sie hier:
A timeless design. The 24 foot Polaris.
Foto Aelke Mariska Terbaru
Alumni Universitas Trisakti angkatan 2006 itu mulai aktif menjadi model saat dirinya masih duduk di semester dua. ada cerita
5 Pasangan Selebritis Romantis di Sinetron Indonesia
Clockwise Blog Tour Details
First, here is a look at how the tour is set up.
Monday, March 26 - Tour Details @ Missy's Reads & Reviews
Tuesday, March 27 - Review @ May-Day's Daze
Wednesday, March 28 - Review @ Crazed Bookie
Thursday, March 29 -Review @ Dead Trees and Silver Screens
Friday, March 30 - Review @ Book Briefs
Saturday, March 31 - Review @ To Read or Not To Read
Sunday, April 1 - Review @ Chocolate Coffee BooksMonday, April 2 - Review @ Bookworm1858 & A Word's Worth
Tuesday, April 3 - Review @ Rondo of a Possible World
Wednesday, April 4 - Review @ Missy's Reads & Reviews
Thursday, April 5 -Review @ 21st Century Once Upon A Time
Friday, April 6 - Review @ Curse of the Bibliophile
This tour focuses mostly on Clockwise itself, so there will be a lot of reviews during the tour.
Now, would you like to know how to get a FREE copy of Clockwiser during the tour? There are three very simple steps to follow:
1. "Like" Elle Strauss on Facebook. You can find her Facebook page here.
2. Once you do that, leave a comment on one of the blog tour stops above.
3. Be sure to leave your e-mail address so we can send a copy right to you after the tour!
Easy, right?
Now, a little information on the books!
Casey Donovan has issues: hair, height and uncontrollable trips to the 19th century! And now this --she’s accidentally taken Nate Mackenzie, the cutest boy in the school, back in time. Awkward.
Protocol pressures her to tell their 1860 hosts that he is her brother and when Casey finds she has a handsome, wealthy (and unwanted) suitor, something changes in Nate. Are those romantic sparks or is it just “brotherly” protectiveness?
When they return to the present, things go back to the way they were before: Casey parked on the bottom of the rung of the social ladder and Nate perched high on the very the top. Except this time her heart is broken. Plus, her best friend is mad, her parents are split up, and her younger brother gets escorted home by the police. The only thing that could make life worse is if, by some strange twist of fate, she took Nate back to the past again.
Which of course, she does.
The last year has been smooth sailing for Casey Donovan. She and her boyfriend Nate are doing better than ever, and things at home are good, too. Everything’s been so calm, she hasn’t even “tripped” back to the nineteenth century.
Then the unthinkable happens and she accidentally takes her rebellious brother Tim back in time. It’s 1862 with the Civil War brewing, and for Tim this spells adventure and excitement. Finding himself stuck in the past, he enlists in the Union army, but it doesn’t take long before he discovers real life war is no fun and games.
Casey and Nate race against the clock to find Tim, but the strain wears on their relationship. It doesn’t help that the intriguing new boy next door has his sights on Casey, and isn’t shy to let her know it.
Can Nate and Casey find Tim in time to save him? And is it too late to save their love?